23 articles
Russia faces the prospect of a spectacular collapse due to the unsustainable human and economic costs of the Ukraine war, according to expert analysis. While diplomatic efforts continue, a swift resolution remains unlikely, and the US's leverage is constrained by domestic politics and a reluctance to fully engage.
Russia's economy is showing signs of severe strain, with a staggering 100% price increase for cucumbers highlighting a broader food inflation crisis. Despite official inflation figures, public perception and anecdotal evidence suggest prices are rising at double-digit rates, eroding purchasing power and creating significant hardship for ordinary citizens. This economic pressure is exacerbated by high interest rates, sanctions, and the costs of war, casting doubt on the government's narrative of stability.
The war in Ukraine is projected to last another one to three years, as Russia negotiates in bad faith while facing internal economic and recruitment challenges. While a leadership change in Moscow could offer a window for peace, certain EU leaders like Hungary's Orban and Slovakia's Fico are engaging in political blackmail, threatening Ukraine's supplies and EU integration, prompting strong warnings from Brussels.
