Ex-CIA Analyst Reveals Iran’s ‘Leverage Point’ Against US

Iran’s Strategic Leverage Point Against US and Israel Revealed

In a recent analysis, a former CIA operative has detailed the primary strategic advantage Iran possesses in its ongoing geopolitical struggle with the United States and Israel. The operative, speaking on condition of anonymity, identified Iran’s willingness to employ unconventional and potentially devastating tactics as its key “leverage point,” particularly concerning the use of ballistic missiles and cluster munitions, and its growing proficiency in information warfare.

Intelligence Concerns and Potential Threats

The discussion emerged following an FBI bulletin concerning unverified intelligence about potential threats, including the use of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) or drones, with California identified as a possible target area. However, former CIA operative Mike Baker, speaking to interviewer Stuart, clarified that while the intelligence community has “serious concerns” about state-sponsored efforts, sleeper cells, and copycat attacks inspired by radical Islam, there is no “imminent threat” currently identified by federal agencies or the intelligence community.

“There are serious concerns. State-sponsored efforts, a sleeper cell, copycat attacks, inspired by radical Islam.”

Baker elaborated on the nature of these concerns, highlighting the potential for Iran to utilize highly destructive weaponry. “Using ballistic missiles to cluster munitions at Israel, it is very deadly for civilians. The use could violate the laws of war.” This statement underscores the gravity of the situation, suggesting that Iran’s strategic calculus might involve actions that disregard international humanitarian law.

The ‘Leverage Point’: Unconventional Warfare and Information Operations

The former operative pinpointed what they believe is Iran’s singular “big leverage point”: its understanding that the most effective way to confront the US and Israel is through asymmetric and disruptive means. This includes the potential use of weapons that inflict widespread civilian casualties, a tactic previously observed during the 12-day war last year where Iran reportedly used cluster munitions.

The transcript highlighted that while 100 nations have banned cluster munitions due to their indiscriminate nature and the high risk to civilians, Iran’s military operational use of such weapons is primarily focused on increasing casualties among enemy forces. This strategy, while controversial and potentially violating international norms, is seen as a core component of Iran’s asymmetric warfare doctrine.

Information Warfare: A New Frontier

Beyond conventional and unconventional weaponry, the analysis delved into Iran’s sophisticated use of information warfare. The operative noted that Iran employs tactics such as blocking messages from dissenters and utilizing social media for propaganda, aiming to influence global opinion and sow discord.

The effectiveness of these tactics, particularly in spreading anti-war and pro-Iran narratives, was emphasized. “Bobslleding social media with antiwar, pro-Iran propaganda. How do we stop that? It is extremely difficult. We’ve seen that over the years, the ability to spread disinformation. The internet has meta subsite and real downsides and this is one of them.”

The discussion also touched upon the potential for Iran to exploit communication channels, including the possibility of using satellite internet services like Starlink. “It is the most effective efficient way to get around this. They got involved, get involved in some terminals using*link, using how effective it was in the conflict zone. That got to happen. This is a real problem.” This suggests a proactive approach by Iran to bypass censorship and maintain communication, even in conflict zones.

Internal Pressures and International Dynamics

The operative also alluded to internal challenges within Iran, suggesting that the regime faces “real issues within Iran.” Despite these internal pressures, Iran continues its external actions, leading to global “panicking.” The transcript also noted the economic implications, with China reportedly receiving oil from Iran, indicating complex international economic and political relationships at play.

The Challenge of Countering Disinformation

Combating Iran’s sophisticated disinformation campaigns presents a significant challenge. The operative described the effort as being on a “constant hamster wheel trying to stay ahead.” The ability to spread misinformation and propaganda is a persistent issue, with nations like Russia and China also being adept at these tactics. Shutting down such operations is a complex and ongoing battle.

Looking Ahead

The revelations underscore the multifaceted nature of the threat posed by Iran, extending beyond military capabilities to encompass sophisticated information warfare tactics. As international tensions persist, understanding Iran’s strategic calculus, particularly its willingness to leverage unconventional means and its mastery of the information domain, will be crucial for US and Israeli policymakers. Future developments will likely focus on Iran’s continued efforts to expand its influence through both military posturing and digital propaganda, and the international community’s ability to effectively counter these strategies.

Source: 'LEVERAGE POINT': Former CIA operative reveals 'ONLY WAY' Iran can fight US (YouTube)